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Conclusion
From 1996 onwards, the desire to own shares in an
Internet company was so great that it directly affected the entire world
economy. As the craze increased, it became necessary to split the shares
up to three times a year (e.g. Yahoo, Amazon, Cisco). Speculators, for
example investment firms and insiders, made large profits by buying when
prices fell and selling when prices were high, many became exceedingly
rich. Soon ordinary investors of all classes converted their savings in
banks and were attracted to invest in Internet companies by
the apparently effortless boom that was created. Their investments
were often based on irrational expectations, animal mentality, or other
idiosyncratic habits. By the law of supply and demand, the value of the
share with regard to the companies profit was completely out of proportion
and the price to earnings ratio was often over 200%. In fact most of these
companies lost money every year. Nevertheless, there press releases where
still extremely positive on the ground of the company’s growth in terms
of customers spurning this "mania".
Eventually in 1999, the more prudent began to
recognize this rage could not last forever. As these insiders reached this
conclusion and sold their stakes, the share prices dropped and panic hit
the volatile Internet market. The speculative bubble burst, prices fell,
and confidence plummeted.
In the end, many found themselves the owners of
shares of bankrupt companies that nobody would buy and victims of
irrational speculation.
Looking at the NASDAQ index today and comparing it to
the individual companies, it became apparent that every company’s share
was influenced by the overall stock market performance. However, after the
bubble had burst only those companies, which could stratify these new,
more realistic criterions for evaluating an Internet company were able to
survive in the market. Many others who did not show any financial
performance went into liquidation after the crash (e.g. pet.com).
We therefore have to conclude that nearly every
Internet Company was a bubble, as they all were overvalued even if their
financial performance was extraordinary (e.g. Cisco); there stock value
was even more extraordinary.
Although the bubble has burst now and most of the
shares are now more adequately valued with regard to there P/E ratio, it
seems it might well be the case that the bubble will build again, as the
human race has not learnt from its mistakes. There has been the tulip
bubble, the automobile bubble, the Wall Street crash 1929, the PC bubble,
etc. and now the Internet bubble. It
has also become apparent that the bubbles increased in size as centuries
progressed. Due to coming 21st century innovations, further
increasing amount of information and disinformation via all sort of
mediums, which will soon encompass the whole world and people of all
social classes, making attraction to the stock market bubble even greater,
as more and more people will participate in the ultimate goal to be part
of this ‘mania’ or ‘cultural need’ and dream of becoming
exceptionally rich.
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